2007年中国生产资料市场表现出四个特点:经济指标热度不减,国内消费需求旺盛;抑制措施力度较弱,生产资料出口势头强劲;新增产能大量释放,资源水平明显提高;出口挤占国内供应,市场价格高位运行。2008年中国生产资料市场将主要呈现以下趋势:消费需求持续旺盛;大量出口长期保持;产能过剩逐步显现;市场价格高位震荡。持续波动甚至剧烈震荡将成为今后中国生产资料市场的常态和运行趋势。
<<China’s production materials market shows the following four characters in 2007:economic indexes keep increasing and domestic consumption blooms;the export of production materials increases sharply,which can not be controlled by the relatively weak policies;capacity release largely and resource level advances obviously;export has extrusion effect on domestic supply and market prices keep high. Form the end of 2007 to 2008,China’s production materials market operation will show itself as follows:consumption demands will keep booming,big amount of export will maintain for a long time,the problem of overcapacity of production will emerge gradually,and price will keep in high level. The increase of production materials price results from the adding of materials cost,higher wage and other uncertain factors such as geo-politics and unexpected factors. China’s production materials market will experience continuous fluctuation even acute shock in the future.
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