2007年,美国股市3月出现波动,4月开始上涨,7~8月又开始剧烈动荡,第三季度末大幅上扬;债券市场,第一季度推高了低级债券和垃圾债券市场的收益水平,到9月底,投资级的公司债券市场高调收场。欧洲资本市场走势与美股相似,说明资本市场国际化程度的提高已使全球股市呈现“同上同下”的现象。中国股市2007年震荡上扬,整体表现出牛市行情,债券市场走熊,基金行业发展迅速。展望2008年,中国经济形势持续向好、上市公司业绩提升是资本市场发展的强大动力和根本条件,人民币持续升值是股市长期走牛的基础;中国的股票市场将继续维持牛市,债券市场前景值得期待,基金市场应该能够保持高速发展的势头。
<<In 2007,the US stock market fluctuated in March,went up in April,and shocked in July and August,and rose substantially from the end of the third quarter. For the bond market,the yield of secondary bonds and junk bonds market was increased in the first quarter and the corporate bond of investment-grade market rose sharply till the end of September. The Europe stock markets had quite similar trends with the US stock market,which shows that the worldwide stock markets tend to fluctuate simultaneously. For China in 2007,the stock market went up with fluctuations,which in general was a “bull market”;however,the bond market was a “bear market”,and investment fund business is developing rapidly. For the prospect of 2008,the China economy will keep going well,increasing return of list companies will improve the development of capital market and continual appreciation of RMB will provide the support for stock market. Therefore,China stock market will maintain bull market,the development of bond market is promising and the fund market will keep grow fast.
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