2007年,在各种因素的影响下,A股单只新股的融资规模扩大,新股发行市盈率和单家公司融资水平明显提高,A股市场行情震荡向上,成交量也屡创新高。债券市场,2007年的市场利率水平不断提高,国债指数震荡下行,收益率曲线整体呈现陡峭态势,公司债市场起航,牛市中可转债折寿,新债发行难阻市场萎缩。基金发行份额剧增,收益率创历史新高,资产规模爆发性增长,创新型封闭式基金弥补了五年来封基的发行空白。展望2007年第四季度和2008年,我国长期牛市格局不会发生大的改变,但不排除阶段性宽幅震荡的可能性;债券市场将维持弱势整理,基金业规模仍将继续壮大。
<<Influenced by various factors in 2007,the financing scale of single A-shares issue expanded;meanwhile,the PEG of new share issues and financing capacity of list companies increased significantly. A-share market went up with fluctuations and daily turnover set many new records. With raising interest rate,the government bonds index declined and yield curve was cliffy. The company bond market launched,convertible bonds performed badly and new bond issues could not prevent the bond market from shrinkage. The share of fund issues increased sharply,yield of funds set new record. The scale of funds capital increased dramatically and innovation close-ended fund issues filled a gap of China close-ended fund market. This article argued that the long-run bull market situation will not change in the fourth quarter of 2007 and in 2008. However,because of the structural bubbles in stock market,forthcoming stock index futures and enhancing market capability,it is possible that stock market will fluctuate periodically. Bond market still need to adjust and scale of funds will further increase.
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