本文从经济增长速度、工业与农业发展状况、固定资产投资状况、消费与出口情况等角度对当前宏观经济发展的特点进行阐述,提出关注经济增长速度与通货膨胀压力等经济运行中的问题。但我国经济快速发展的基本面没有改变,对于经济增长速度既应该高度重视,又不要反应过度;还不能轻易放松对通货膨胀的警惕。要积极处理好经济增速、农民增收和理顺资源要素价格与控制通货膨胀之间的关系。本文对2008年及2009年的相关经济数据作了科学预测,并在此基础上提出积极的财政政策、适度放松的货币政策、转变经济增长方式、扩大内需、理顺资源性产品价格及维护股市与房市健康发展六个方面的对策与建议。
<<It analyzes the features of the current macroeconomic development from the perspectives of the economic growth rate,industrial and agricultural development,investments in fixed assets,consumption and export,and puts forward to paying attention to economic operation problems including economic growth rate and inflation pressure. But China’s fundamentals for rapid economic development haven’t changed. We should pay enough attention to the economic growth rate but not overreact:it is not the time to reduce the attention to inflation. It is required to well deal with the relationship among economic growth,farmers’ increase of income,price of resource elements,and control of inflation. The author makes a scientific forecast with the economic data concerning 2008 and 2009 and based on this puts forward countermeasures and suggestions from six perspectives,i.e. positive fiscal policy,moderately loosened monetary policy,changing the economic growth modes,expanding the domestic demand,correcting the resource product price,maintaining the sound development of the stock market and the real estate market.
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