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王伟光
    男,汉族,1950年2月出生,山东海阳人。1967年11月参加工作,1972年11月加入中国共产党,博士研究生学... 详情>>
李 扬
    1951年9月出生,籍贯安徽,1981年、1984年、1989年分别于安徽大学、复旦大学、中国人民大学获经济学学... 详情>>
李培林
    男,山东济南人。博士,研究员,中国社会科学院副院长,中国社会学会副会长,中国社会科学院社会学研究所副所长。《社会... 详情>>

    俄罗斯与上海合作组织

    摘要

    2012年俄罗斯形势总体保持稳定。第六届国家杜马和总统大选结束后,普京为了应对俄罗斯政治生态出现的新变化,采取了一系列政治体制改革措施,但是这些措施并没有真正增强政治竞争性,国家权力结构也没有出现实质性变化,政局保持稳定。从经济形势看,在油价保持高位的情况下,2012年俄罗斯经济保持了增长,宏观经济情况好于预期。在国际关系层面,俄罗斯2012年重返亚太的态势明显。从俄美关系上看,双方既非盟友也非敌人的特征长期存在。俄美关系是一个霸权守成国与新兴崛起国之间如何相处的问题。双方的结构性矛盾与全球化时代相互依赖的现实互为影响因素,造成了俄美之间既合作又斗争的关系。俄罗斯认为上合组织作为确保地区安全与稳定关键因素的地位已经确立,认为上合组织拥有良好而远大的前景。 <<
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    Abstract

    The situation of Russia has maintained a general stability in 2012. In the wake of the 6th Duma Election and the Presidential Election, Putin adopted a series of political reforms in order to handle new changes taking place in the political ecology of Russia. But those reform measures did not actually increase the political competitions in Russia, neither did any substantial change occur in the state power structure, and the political situation has remained stable. From the perspective of economic situation, due to high oil prices, the Russian economy has continued its growth in 2012, the situation of macro-economy turned out better than expected. In terms of international relations, Russian in 2012 showed a clear posture of returning to Asia-Pacific. As to Russian-US relationship, it is well characterized as one of an enduring state of both non-ally and non-adversary. The Russian-US relation is about how a mature hegemonic power and a newly rising power deal with each other. The structural conflicts between the two powers and the mutually depending reality in the era of globalization are both influencing factors, and created this both confronting and cooperating relationship between Russia and US. Russia believes that SCO's position as the key guarantor of regional security and stability has been firmly established, and SCO has a broad and bright future. <<
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    Keywords: RussiaSCOPutin
    作者简介
    庞大鹏:庞大鹏,中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所研究员,俄罗斯政治社会文化研究室主任。
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