2009~2010年度的国际形势,出现了西方大国与新兴国家此消彼长的结构性变化。在中国与周边国家关系中,领土主权争议成为热点,而军事关系则出现了紧张化因素。在传统安全领域,全球的重大冲突仍然以国内冲突为主,区域集中于中东、南亚和非洲东北部地区。在非传统安全领域,南亚、中东地区仍然是恐怖主义的重灾区,但也门和索马里的局势发展也令人担忧。应对气候变化的哥本哈根大会未能消除分歧,但缔约方在继续为未来谈判进行艰苦努力。能源政治的主要表现尽管是国际合作,但涉及主权的纠纷在增多。为了应对这些全球性问题,各种国际组织通过改革加强了治理的能力。中国在新的国际结构与形势下,既面对着发挥更大作用的机遇,也面对着以适宜政策化解问题与矛盾的挑战。
<<There has been a recent structural shift of power in international politics from the Western countries to the emerging countries.Furthermore,territorial disputes over sovereignty have increased and mounting military tensions have occurred in the relations between China and its neighbors. In the field of traditional security,the world’s major military conflicts are internal conflicts in the Middle East,South Asia,and Northeast Africa. In terms of non-traditional security,South Asia and the Middle East are still the hardest hit by terrorism while Yemen and Somalia also face terrorist threats. The 2009 Copenhagen climate change conference concluded with unresolved differences,about which the parties are continuing to negotiate. Cooperation is still the mainstream in international energy politics despite increasing disputes over sovereignty. To address these global issues,regional and international organizations have undertaken institutional reforms to strengthen their governing capacity. Against the backdrop of this new international situation and power structure,China is facing both an opportunity to play a greater role on the world stage and a challenge to settle the disputes by adopting the appropriate policies.
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