2009~2010年,日本经济继续保持正增长,延续了危机后的增长周期。从国内消费者信心指数以及机械设备投资的情况来看,日本经济有可能继续保持正增长。但是受国内结构性失业、通货紧缩以及财政状况的影响,日本未来的经济增长将维持在较低的水平。我们估计,日本经济2011年可能出现1。5%以下的正增长。在2011年,日本需要注意旅游业的波动、全球性的财政紧缩等问题,并对“新增长战略”的政策目标进行调整。
<<During 2009-2010,the Japanese Economy had a positive but weak growth,continuing its growth cycle after the global financial crisis. According to the domestic consumers’ confidence and machinery investment,Japan will possibly keep a positive growth rate. However,due to the structural unemployment,deflation and poor fiscal position,the growth rate in 2011 is estimated to remain at a low level,of less than 1.5 percent. In 2011,more attention should be paid to the fluctuation of tourist industry and the effect of global fiscal tightening the redirection of the New Growth Strategy should also be put on the policy agenda.
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