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王伟光
    男,汉族,1950年2月出生,山东海阳人。1967年11月参加工作,1972年11月加入中国共产党,博士研究生学... 详情>>
李 扬
    1951年9月出生,籍贯安徽,1981年、1984年、1989年分别于安徽大学、复旦大学、中国人民大学获经济学学... 详情>>
李培林
    男,山东济南人。博士,研究员,中国社会科学院副院长,中国社会学会副会长,中国社会科学院社会学研究所副所长。《社会... 详情>>

    俄罗斯和中亚能源发展状况

    摘要

    俄罗斯是全球主要能源资源大国之一,其得天独厚的能源资源基础是推进能源外交的基石,对维护全球能源安全发挥着重要作用。作为世界能源出口大国,俄罗斯未来经济增长仍严重依赖能源出口创汇拉动。新普京时代的俄罗斯将推动欧亚同盟建设、上海合作组织框架内能源合作、优先强化中俄能源战略协作伙伴关系、开辟东北亚能源(油气煤电)市场作为综合实施“向东转向”的战略部署。中亚地区是中、俄、美三国利益和政策的交汇碰撞区。苏联解体后,被誉为“第二个中东”的里海地区不断发现大规模油气田,这一地区有可能继海湾地区成为21世纪世界能源主要供应地之一。美国推动实施巴—杰管线以打破俄罗斯对中亚—里海石油的垄断地位,俄罗斯极力维护在该地的主导权,中国作为中亚国家的陆上近邻也把中亚管道油气作为本国能源进口的重要来源,中国—中亚天然气管道、中哈石油管道项目稳步推进。 <<
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    Abstract

    Russia is one of the primary energy resources countries and its unique energy resource base is a cornerstone to promote its energy diplomacy for maintaining global energy security. As the major exporter of energy in the world, Russia and its economic growth in the future are still heavily dependent on energy exports. The second presidential period of Putin will promote the construction of the Eurasian Union, deepen the collaborations within the framework of SCO energy cooperation, give priority to strengthen the Sino-Russian strategic partnership of energy, and open Northeast Asian energy (oil and gas coal) market as a comprehensive implementation of the "eastward shift" strategy deployment. Central Asia as a collision zone is the intersection of China, Russia and the U.S. with their national interests and policies. After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, large Caspian oil and gas fields considered as the "Second Middle East" were found, following the Gulf region and being thought another major supplier of the world's energy in the 21st century. The United States aims to implement the Ba-Jay pipeline to break Russia in Central Asia-Caspian oil monopoly. However, Russia of course tried to maintain its dominance. China, as a close neighbor of the Central Asian countries, also believes that onshore oil and gas pipelines in Central Asia are crucial national energy imports sources. Thus, China pushes its Central Asia gas pipeline, Kazakhstan oil pipeline project steadily. <<
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    作者简介
    庞昌伟:中国石油大学(北京)国际石油政治研究中心主任,教授
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