On the effect of the decline in the growth rate of potential output and the policies of "stabilizing growth, reconfiguring structure, promoting reform", the economic has stepped into weak recovery path in the "cool" region since July 2012, and has returned to "normal"range in August 2013. In the short run, the economy is expected to grow steadily. We predicate that in 2013-2014 the GDP growth rate would be about 7.7% and 7.5% respectively. From the fourth quarter in 2012 prices have entered a moderate rising cycle and might last for six quarters. In 2013 and 2014, the inflation rates would be about 2.7% and 3% respectively which would be still in the moderate range.
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