“美日澳印四国战略对话”是近年来大国互动过程中出现的新现象。尽管四国短期内难以形成军事同盟,但其防务交流和安全对话的力度将逐年加强。防范中国无疑是四国合作最重要的基础,所谓共同的民主价值观只是幌子。四国对该机制的立场和期待不尽相同,步调也不完全一致。该对话机制一经成型,将有可能使亚太地区陷入新的冷战对抗,对亚洲现存的多边安全机制构成排挤效应,同时增加中国周边安全环境的复杂性,并可能对台湾问题的解决带来新变数。
<<The Looming U.S.-Japan-Australia-India Strategic Dialogue is relatively new in the current international power politics. Driven by more or less different considerations,the four members have different expectation from the dialogue. The so-called “axis of democracy” is an effective excuse for their attempt to counterbalance China’s rising power and influence. The possibility of its realization will probably lead to a new Cold War in Asia and an exclusive effect to those existing multilateral security arrangements in the Asia-Pacific area. It will also make China’s security environment complicated and bring about new uncertainty to the already intricate situation across the Taiwan Strait.
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