从政策内容表面来看,安倍经济学前“两支箭”,即大胆的金融政策和机动的财政扩张政策与80年前日本的高桥财政并无多大区别,但从吸取高桥财政的深刻教训角度来看,安倍经济学不仅在财政、货币政策上与高桥财政时期存在着较大差别,“第三支箭”即增长战略也缺乏新意。要想使日本经济真正步入回升轨道,确立经济好转的良性循环机制,根本出路还在于尽快与中韩两国建立自由贸易区。
<<Monetary easing,fiscal expansion and growth strategies are termed as the “three arrows” of the so-called Abenomics. A casual glance may suggest that the first two “arrows” are of little difference with the contents of Takahashi fiscal policy in early 1930s,but a closer look indicates that Abenomics has learned profound lessons from Takahashi fiscal policy. Abenomics is largely different from Takahashi fiscal policy in fiscal and monetary policies. The third “arrow”,or the economic growth strategies,is also lack of innovative idea as compared with that of the post-bubble periods. This study argues that the early establishment of FTA with China and Korea can be the only fundamental solution to the Japanese economic recovery in an effectively interactive mechanism.
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