进入21世纪后日本率先采用了量化宽松货币政策,尤其是安倍政府实施了超量化宽松货币政策,其目的为遏制通缩,振兴经济。本文分析日本量化宽松货币政策的演变及特征,通过VAR模型分析得出结论:日本量化宽松货币政策短期内有利于稳定金融体系,具有积极的资产配置效应和预期效应,但从长期来看,提升价格、拉动消费、刺激实体经济的作用有限,且埋下通胀和金融危机隐患。
<<After entering the 21st century,Japan adopted the quantitative easing(QE) monetary policy firstly,especially the Andouble government implemented the QQE to fight domestic deflation and recover economy. This paper analyses the evolution and characteristics of the quantitative easing monetary policy in Japan,and the conclusion obtained by a VAR model is:In the short term,Japan’s quantitative easing monetary policy is conducive to the stability of the financial system,has positive effects of asset allocation and the market anticipation. But in the long run,the effects of raising prices,promoting consumption and stimulating the real economy are limited,and pave the way for inflation and financial crisis in Japan.
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