2006年俄罗斯经济保持稳定增长态势。2007年俄罗斯的经济形势总体上可以概括为:经济继续稳定增长,增速进一步提高。由于宏观经济环境整体性得到改善,经济增长的内需导向型发展进一步加强,国内经济的基本因素在经济增长中起主导作用。为转变增长方式,政府在经济生活中的作用继续增强。受能源供给增长乏力的限制,2007年俄罗斯出口增幅趋缓的趋势不会改变,但国际高油价的利益驱动仍会使俄罗斯不断增加石油生产和出口,同时“黑色金子”也是推进俄内需扩张的重要基础。我们乐观地认为,2008年俄罗斯继续保持稳定的增长势头。
<<The Russian economy has maintained a steady growth in 2006.It is estimated that the economy of Russia in 2008will keep stable growth and the growth rate will maintain a faster speed than that in 2007,because of the improvement of the macroeconomic environment and the further development of domestic demand-oriented economy.Because of the constraints of weaken energy supply,Russia’s slowdown in export growth trend will not change in 2007.Import growth rate is much higher than that of exports growth,which features the economic development of the year.However,the interests of high oil prices would drive Russia still raising oil production and exports.As a result,we hold an optimistic view on Russian economy in 2008.
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