在全球经济失衡和流动性过剩的背景下,国际油价进入新一轮上升周期。中东石油出口国受益于油价上涨,产生了大量的石油美元,国内资产价格暴涨。石油美元的流向和用途对世界经济具有重要意义,石油美元被大量储蓄起来降低了总需求,也加剧了全球经济失衡。美元未来走势、流动性过剩下投机资本的盛行给石油市场的未来增加了不确定性,石油-美元计价机制面临的挑战和次级债危机引发的金融动荡也预示着石油市场风险增大。
<<Under the circumstances of global economic unbalance and excess liquidity,the oil price is experiencing a new upward cycle.Benifiting from oil price upward,Middle East oil exporters engendered abundance petrodollars and resulted in inner assets rising suddenly and sharply.The directions and purposes of petrodollars have influential effect to global economy.Petrodollars were saved up largely so that reduced aggregate demand and induced unbalance of global economy.The future trend of U.S Dollar and the prevailing speculative capital under the excess liquidity will both enhance the uncertainty of future global oil market,what’s more,the challenges faced by oil-dollar pricemaking mechanism and finance turbulence induced by Sub-prime Loan Crisis also indicate the upward risks of global oil market.
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