“综合国力”的含义是指一个国家赖以生存与发展的全部力量及资源的总和,或者指国家为实现其战略目标而能够调动与运用的力量与资源的总和。本报告的评估对象,包括西方七国和“金砖四国”,即美国、日本、法国、德国、英国、加拿大、意大利、中国、俄罗斯、印度和巴西。评估的指标体系包括领土与自然资源、人口、经济、军事、科技五个直接构成要素,以及社会发展、可持续性、安全与国内政治、国际贡献四个影响要素。本报告认为,国力评估具有战略参考意义,但对于总体排名应取适当态度。由于受到数据应用的客观限制和指标设计的主观影响,各项计算结果实际上都是特定要素与方法选择的产物。它们虽然有客观的依据,但不能说就是国力比较的客观写照。
<<“Comprehensive national power” refers to the sum of all the strength and resources that a country possesses for survival and development or that can be mobilized to achieve its strategic objectives. Seven western countries(the United States,Japan,France,Germany,Britain,Canada,and Italy)and the “BRIC”(China,Russia,India,and Brazil)are assessed in this study. The Evaluation Index includes five direct constituent elements:territory and natural resources,population,economy,military,and science and technology;and four other factors that also have an impact on comprehensive national power,namely,social development,sustainability,security and domestic politics,and international contributions. The report argues that the national power assessment has a meaningful strategic reference value;nevertheless,the overall rankings should be evaluated with caution. Due to objective data limitations and subjective constraints in the design of the index,the calculations in effect are the product of the selection of specific elements and methods. Therefore,although the rankings have an objective basis,they cannot be regarded as an objective portrayal of comparisons of national power.
<<Keywords: | Social DevelopmentMilitaryComprehensive national strengthstrategic resources and capabilitieseconomic powertechnological level |