2013年广州经济实现较快增长,完成地区生产总值15420。14亿元,增长11。6%。其中,从三次产业看,服务业取得较快发展,工业和农业保持平稳增长;从三大需求看,内需是增长的主要动力,投资和消费表现强劲,外贸出口保持低速增长。展望2014年,全球经济谨慎乐观,可望实现3。7%左右的增长,但仍面临着不少风险;我国将继续实施积极的财政政策和稳健的货币政策,把改革创新贯穿于经济社会发展各个领域、各个环节,经济有望保持平稳增长,但也面临着经济稳中向好基础还不牢固,财政和金融等领域的风险隐患仍存,部分行业产能严重过剩,就业结构性矛盾较大等困难。综合考虑各方面因素影响,课题组经模型测算,预计2014年广州地区生产总值增长10。1%左右。
<<In 2013,Guangzhou economy grew rapidly. GDP reached 1.54 trillion RMB,an increase of 11.6% over the previous year. The service industry developed rapidly,at the same time manufacfure and agriculture industries grew steadily. Domestic demand is the main driver of growth,investment and consumption performed strongly but exports maintained a low growth rate. Prospect 2014,the global economy is expected to increase 3.7% over the previous year,but still facing some risks.China will implement proactive fiscal policies and prudent monetary policies,and carry out reform and innovation in all areas of economic and social development. The economy of China is expected to maintain a steady growth. But there are still some negative factors,such as the loose foundation for sustaining steady economic growth,risks and hidden dangers in public finance and banking,industries heavily burdened by excess production capacity,major structural problems constraining employment,etc..Considering various factors,the Research Group’s model estimates that Guangzhou’s GDP is expected to grow at a rate of 10.1% in 2014.
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