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王伟光
    男,汉族,1950年2月出生,山东海阳人。1967年11月参加工作,1972年11月加入中国共产党,博士研究生学... 详情>>
李 扬
    1951年9月出生,籍贯安徽,1981年、1984年、1989年分别于安徽大学、复旦大学、中国人民大学获经济学学... 详情>>
李培林
    男,山东济南人。博士,研究员,中国社会科学院副院长,中国社会学会副会长,中国社会科学院社会学研究所副所长。《社会... 详情>>

    2010~2011年全球政治与安全形势:分析与展望

    摘要

    2010~2011年度的国际形势仍处于全球力量变化的影响之下。美国的整体实力仍占绝对优势,但在国际事务中的主导作用有所减弱;新兴大国力量上升,在重大全球问题的治理中影响在增大。格局的主要特征表现为大国间的协调与合作。在传统安全领域,中东北非变局引发了一些国家的武装冲突和国际干预。美军撤出阿富汗,战略重心东移,开启了美国新的全球布局。在非传统安全领域,恐怖主义威胁依然严峻,欧洲债务危机进一步深化,气候变化的谈判未能消除成员国间的根本分歧。在中国周边,领土争端升温,国际军事互动增多,中国面对着加强周边外交的机遇与挑战。 <<
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    Abstract

    The structural shifts of power in international politics from the Western countries to the emerging countries are still subject to global changes. Despite the relative decline in its leading role in international affairs due to the rising power of the emerging powers in the governance of major global issues, the United States still enjoys an absolute advantage in world affairs and the pattern of cooperation and collaboration among the big powers still remains the mainstream in global governance. In the field of traditional security, the unrest in the Middle East and North Africa has led to armed conflicts and to civil war and international intervention in Libya. In Afghanistan, the United States finally is beginning to withdraw its combat troops from Afghanistan, moving and adjusting its global strategy by shifting its military focus eastward to the Asia Pacific. In terms of the non-traditional security fields, the threat of terrorism in South Asia and the Middle East and the deepening debt crisis in Europe remain serious. Furthermore, the 2010 climate-change negotiations in Cancun failed to resolve the fundamental differences among the member states. Finally, Chinese territorial disputes over the South China Sea have aroused increasing tensions and military interactions with neighboring countries. As a result, both the opportunities and challenges to Chinese diplomacy have been strengthened. <<
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    作者简介
    《全球政治与安全报告》课题组:本文参考了本书相关分报告,执笔人郎平,并由李慎明、张宇燕修改定稿。郎平,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所副研究员。
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