利用国务院发展研究中心在全国2749个行政村调查获得的资料,结合宏观数据分析,研究发现,农村劳动力的供求关系正在从长期以来的“供过于求”逐步转向“既过剩,又不足”。从总量上看,农村劳动力仍然是过剩的;从结构上看,熟练劳动力已经出现全面供不应求的现象,青壮年劳动力的短缺现象正在由沿海向内地蔓延,农村青壮年劳动力正在逐步向供不应求转变。因此,开发中年以上劳动力资源,推进农业的变革和技术进步已经非常必要。
<<>Using village survey data collected by Development Research Center in 2749 villages with combination of macro data,the chapter finds that a long-standing situation of surplus labor in rural China has gradually transited into a new relation between labor supply and demand.In terms of aggregated quantity there still exits some surplus in rural areas.If the employment structure is taken into account,however,a substantial shortage of skilled labor is happening.Shortage of young labor forces has been translated to inner areas from the coastal ones.Hence,it is time to further exploit labor forces with middle-aged or above and to promote technological progress in agriculture.
<<