Based on the integration of model simulation and empirical analysis，the economic trend and the primal problems faced by China in 2009 and in 2010 are analyzed and forecasted. A forecast on the primary indicators for national economy from 2009 to 2010 is issued. An analysis on the macro-economic situation shows that，the slow global economic recovery is starting，but a sustainable domestic economic growth needs to strengthen further，and “act precipitately” or “excessively slow” in the business uptrend should be avoided. The inflation risk must be prevented in the process of business uptrend，and the forecast thought that，on the one hand，the supply and demand patterns which the demand is insufficient are not changed yet，and will not have obvious inflation in the near future；On the other hand，the multiple factors that cause the inflation should be paid attention in the process of business uptrend. The report stresses that the functions of financial policy should be strengthened further in the expansionary policy combination.