预计2009年GDP增长8。5%左右。2010年,世界经济将出现缓慢复苏,外需有望止跌回升,但中国经济将面临着刺激经济政策效应递减、部分行业产能严重过剩、自主增长动力不足、银行不良资产潜在风险增大等问题,预计2010年中国经济增长8。5%左右,CPI上涨2。5%左右,就业和国际收支平衡状况继续改善。2010年,应继续把保持经济平稳增长作为宏观调控的首要目标,继续实行积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策,着力“稳增长、调结构、促改革、惠民生”。
<<It is estimated that GDP will grow about 8.5% in 2009. In 2010,the world economy will present the slow recovery,and it is hopeful for the overseas demand to bounce back,but the Chinese economy will face some problems,including the effect of stimulating the economic policy decreases progressively,the capacity of partial industries is seriously surplus,the power of independent growth is insufficient,and the potential risk of bank non-performing asset is increasing,and so on,therefore,it is estimated that,in 2010,the Chinese economic growth will be at about 8.5%,CPI rises about 2.5%,and the employment and the international payments equilibrium condition will keep improvement. In 2010,maintaining the steady economic growth should be regarded as the priority target of the macroeconomic regulation and control continuously,the proactive fiscal policy and the moderately loose monetary policy should be kept implementation,and the stress must be laid on “stabilizing the growth,regulating the economic structure,promoting the reform and the benefiting livelihood of the people”.
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