近年来,稳中有乱、喜忧参半的态势几乎已成为非洲政治与安全局势的常态。从“稳”和“喜”的层面看,非洲的民主政治发展近两年来经受了相对集中的多党民主选举的考验,民主政治在挫折中经受历练并不断走向成熟。从“乱”和“忧”的角度看,利比亚战争、北非局势动荡、马里危机等凸显了近年来非洲遭遇的安全挑战,如何在“自主维和”与“外来干预”之间寻求平衡和最大限度地维护非洲的主权与利益已成为非洲亟须解决的重大课题。另外,虽然近年来恐怖活动在非洲有抬头之势,但非洲国家不能以牺牲发展和非洲大陆的军事化为代价。在经济层面,增长与发展缺一不可。非洲要保持目前经济发展的稳定增长态势,必须狠下“内功”,通过自身发展动力的深度挖掘为延续目前的发展战略期开启动力之源。
<<In recent years,the situation in Africa has characterized with mixed stability and chaos,as well as mingled with hope and fear. In terms of stability and hope,African democratic political development has experienced the test of the election years in 2011 and 2012. Democratic politics is moving forward and becoming more matured than before. In terms of chaos and fear,Libya war,turbulence in North Africa,Mali crisis and other crises. have highlighted the security challenges that Africa is facing now. The current major task for the Continent is how to seek a balance between “independent peacekeeping” and “foreign intervention” and defend Africa’s sovereignty and interests by the greatest extent. Moreover,although the terrorist activities are showing their ugly faces in Africa,particularly in the North and Horn of Africa,Africa can’t exchange its economic development for anti-terror,neither allow the militarization of the Continent. Economically,“growth without development” is not a sustainable model for Africa. In order to maintain the current economic development momentum,Africa must fully exploit its potentialities and adopt a pro-poor and inclusive development model for meeting the challenges in the future.
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