本文通过考察拉美对信息和通信技术(ICT)在经济中的应用,着重从基础和环境、需求和供给、贸易和投资三个方面阐述该地区信息产业发展的特征。从需求看,移动用户、互联网使用者、宽带用户将继续拉动信息产业的消费需求。从供给看,拉美通过“后发优势”分享了信息产业由发达国家向发展中国家转移带来的收益。尽管拉美信息产品贸易和投资增长较快,但其增长速度和市场份额都落后或低于同时起步的亚洲新兴经济体。与此同时,由效率导向型和市场导向型外资主导的信息产业也存在一定风险。本文从发展战略、监管框架、投融资体制和人力资本四个方面提出促进信息产业发展的公共政策。
<<After reviewing the application of ICT in economic activities in LAC,the author characterizes the region’s ICT development from the aspects of basis and environment,demand and supply,trade and investment. While the increasing number of mobile services,internet and broad band users is pushing the demand curve further upward,the so called late starter’s bonus brought about by ICT redeployment of industrialized countries around the globe to LAC countries is driving the supply curve to meet the demand. However,despite of fast growing trade and investment in IT products,LAC has to catch up with other emerging economies in Asia whose ICT took off simultaneously with LAC but have reported faster growth rate and got larger market share than LAC. LAC’s efficiency oriented and market based ICT industries are dominated by foreign capital,certain risks remain to be weathered. The author concludes with various pubic policy proposals on development strategy,regulatory framework,investment and financing institution and human capital.
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