本文从当下国际形势的讨论入手,揭示出新世纪初世界秩序与力量格局变动的一些重大线索,如:伊斯兰世界在外部因素刺激下产生的乱象、俄罗斯的强势复苏与抗衡姿态、以“金砖四国”和“远眺五国”为代表的新兴力量的崛起、欧美发达地区现有主宰地位与其特有“软肋”之间的矛盾、以及全球化进程中包含的巨大的不确定性与新的复杂性,等等。作为一个中国研究者,作者特别强调了中国面对复杂多变的国际环境、继续保持低调务实态度的必要,肯定了“和平发展”与“和谐世界”基本方略的有效性和长期性。
<<Given the current complex of international situation,the author reveals some basic clues to the changeable world order and emerging structure among regional powers. Among others,the author specially emphasized such trends as the chaos in Islam area provocative by outside forces,the tough stance of Russia’s re-backing to stage center as a player,the rise of emerging and developing countries such as Golden BRIC and VITAS,the contradiction between leading position and weakness of the Western countries,and the uncertainty and complexity in the coming process of globalization. The author emphasizes the necessity of a low-profile and pragmatic behavior for China as an emerging power,and affirmed the policy-lines of so-called “Peaceful Development” and “Harmonious World” as strategies.
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