2013年非洲国内生产总值整体稳步增长,但各地区和各国间的增速极不平衡;通胀率整体趋降,但部分国家维持高位;财政赤字和经常项目赤字略增,外债额略升。非洲本土强劲的投资需求和旺盛的消费需求,国际大宗商品基本平稳的价格走势,榜样作用日益明显的中国因素,是非洲经济稳步增长的主要动力。这些增长动力有望在未来持续发挥作用,推动非洲经济在2014年和2015年继续向好。政治和安全问题,严重的贫富分化现象和高失业率问题,新兴经济体增速下降,美国退出量化宽松,是非洲经济发展面临的主要内外下行风险或不确定因素。
<<African economy,as a whole,continued its steady growth in 2013,but varied significantly from country to country,and was accompanied by easing inflation across the continent,with fiscal and current-account deficits widening and external debts increasing. The main dynamics of the steady growth of Africa comes from the strong local investment and consumption demands,relatively stable prices of commodities in international markets and the elements of China as an example. All the key sources can be expected to play their roles in future in providing solid support to a brighter situation for African economy in 2014 and 2015. The major downside risks and uncertainties for Africa’s economic development in future may include:political instability and security problems;severe income disparity and high unemployment internally;growth deceleration in emerging economies and tapering of QE by US externally.
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