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王伟光
    男,汉族,1950年2月出生,山东海阳人。1967年11月参加工作,1972年11月加入中国共产党,博士研究生学... 详情>>
李 扬
    1951年9月出生,籍贯安徽,1981年、1984年、1989年分别于安徽大学、复旦大学、中国人民大学获经济学学... 详情>>
李培林
    男,山东济南人。博士,研究员,中国社会科学院副院长,中国社会学会副会长,中国社会科学院社会学研究所副所长。《社会... 详情>>

    美国债务上限与政府关门的原因及影响

    摘要

    美国联邦政府债务上限及其所引起的政府关门问题起因在于:经济减速引起财政收入减缓和财政支出的刚性增长;早已存在的对政府债务总额上限的硬性控制制度;国会两党的激烈政治竞争。奥巴马总统任期内如同克林顿总统任期内一样,遭遇到共和党控制的众议院在预算问题上的强烈反对和制约。联邦政府关门虽然短暂,给普通美国人生活所带来的影响也不大,但是,由债务上限和政府关门事件所带来的政策影响和国际影响却是显著的。第一,美国政府一些重要外事活动日程被迫调整。第二,美国国内和国外人士对联邦政府工作体系运行的稳健性产生疑问。第三,奥巴马总统包括医保计划在内的财政政策被迫进行若干重要修改。第四,包括军费在内的财政支出总额及其增长受到限制。第五,美国国债的信誉也受到不利影响。

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    Abstract

    Direct causes of the government shutdown at the federal level in the United States are the budget deficit and legislation on debt limit. There are,however,three root-causes:economic slowdown which has resulted in a slower increase in fiscal revenue and persistent increase in fiscal expenditures;the hard“budget constraint”that has been long existed in the United States in the form of legislation on debt limit for the federal government;and intensified dispute between the Republic and Democratic. Like in the time when Bill Clinton was in office,Barack Obama has been facing a hostile Congress led by the Republic,who has been mostly provocative on budget-related issues. The government shutdowns occurred only briefly,and their impacts on the life of ordinary Americans were minimal in general. Yet the impacts on international affairs and the image of the U.S. are thought be significant and considerable. First,the White House’ agenda on certain foreign affairs had to make some harsh reschedule during the shutdown period. Second,new doubt on the soundness and reliability of the working in the U.S. federal system has emerged. Third,the president’s fiscal and economic policy measures,including his Medicare,have to make change. Fourth,the total expenditure plan,including that on defense,has to be cut more or less. Fifth,the high reputation that has been long enjoyed by the United States in the world financial market has suffered a dint.

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    作者简介
    贺力平:贺力平,北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院金融系教授,国际金融研究所所长,主要研究领域为世界经济与国际金融。
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