2014年是阿富汗形势发展的关键节点。总统选举能否顺利举行?阿各政治派别能否接受选举结果?美军是部分撤军还是全部撤离?阿富汗和平进程能否实现?对周边国家会产生什么影响?这些都是人们一直关心的问题。2012年以来,美国一直在为2014年撤军进行认真准备,与阿富汗签订双边安全协议,获得司法豁免权是美国保留部分军事人员,为阿富汗提供安全保障的首要条件。不管谁当选总统,阿富汗都需要与美国签署安全协议。在国际社会积极努力下,阿富汗已经具备实现民族和解的基本条件。在阿民族和解进程中,中国可以发挥重要和独特作用。
<<The year of 2014 sees the key-linked nodes of the situational development in Afganistan in 2014.Will the presidential election take place smoothly as a whole?Will Afganistan’s various political factions accept its outcome?Will Afganistan’s peace process be realized?What impact will it produce on the neighboring countries?All these have been great concerns all along. The US has been seriously preparing its military withdrawal from Afganistan since 2012. The first priority for US to maintain its partial military personnel and provide Afganistan with security guarantee is to sign a bilateral security agreement with Afganistan for acquiring judicial immunity. No matter who will be president,Afganistan needs to sign a security agreement with the US. With active efforts made by the international community,Afganistan has already possessed the essential conditions for its national reconciliation. In this process,China can play an important and unique role.
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