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王伟光
    男,汉族,1950年2月出生,山东海阳人。1967年11月参加工作,1972年11月加入中国共产党,博士研究生学... 详情>>
李 扬
    1951年9月出生,籍贯安徽,1981年、1984年、1989年分别于安徽大学、复旦大学、中国人民大学获经济学学... 详情>>
李培林
    男,山东济南人。博士,研究员,中国社会科学院副院长,中国社会学会副会长,中国社会科学院社会学研究所副所长。《社会... 详情>>

    中国老龄产业发展报告

    摘要

    中国已经处于老龄社会初期阶段,正在向老龄化经济体转变,也将成长为全球老龄产业市场潜力最大的国家。老龄产业是老龄社会条件下的基础性产业、支柱性产业和战略性产业,发展老龄产业是发达国家调整产业战略的主攻方向之一,也是未来中国经济发展的新的增长引擎。预测表明,到2050年,中国老龄产业的市场总容量将达到届时GDP的三成左右。但是,目前中国老龄产业开发刚刚起步,市场总量占GDP的份额相对较低,发展还比较缓慢,存在有效需求不足、产业结构不合理、产业组织发育迟缓、产业政策不明晰、体制机制不顺畅等诸多问题。需要全社会的共同努力和共同参与,特别需要政府有关部门改革创新、营造环境、破除障碍,但最重要的是需要经济各行业的有识之士看清大势,研判大局,占领老龄产业发展的战略制高点,经过长期努力,成为世界老龄产业市场的领导者,为构建理想老龄社会,实现全体公民拥有有保障、健康、尊严、幸福的老年生活的中国梦奠定强大的经济基础。

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    Abstract

    At the early stage of an aging society,China is now in a transition to an aging economy,and will grow to be world’s largest potential market. Silver industry,is basic industry,pillar industry,and strategic industry in an aging society. It is a normal practice for developed countries to adjust their industrial strategy by developing silver industry,which will be a booster of China’s economy in the future. At present,China sees a rapid growing older population and a new silver industry whose sales amount in GDP is relatively low,indicating that there is a huge space for development. It is projected that by 2050,the total market capacity of silver industry will account for 1/3 of GDP. However,China’s silver industry faces a series of challenges,including lack of effective demand,irrational industrial structure,slow organizational development,unclear industrial policies,and deficient institutional mechanism etc. A thriving silver industry needs joint efforts of the whole society,especially support from government departments,with whose efforts to make reform and innovations,to create a good environment and move the obstacles. Most importantly,pioneers from various fields should see the trend,analyze the overall situation,occupy the vantage point,work hard persistently,and finally become world’s market leader in silver industry. With their capacity,these pioneers will be able to provide strong economic support for a China Dream that people of all ages can live healthy and happy with security and dignity when they grow old.

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    作者简介
    党俊武:党俊武,中国老龄科学研究中心副主任,全国养老服务业专家委员会副主任委员、中国老年宜居研究中心主任,经济学博士。主要研究领域:老龄社会、老龄产业、老龄战略、老龄科学。
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