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王伟光
    男,汉族,1950年2月出生,山东海阳人。1967年11月参加工作,1972年11月加入中国共产党,博士研究生学... 详情>>
李 扬
    1951年9月出生,籍贯安徽,1981年、1984年、1989年分别于安徽大学、复旦大学、中国人民大学获经济学学... 详情>>
李培林
    男,山东济南人。博士,研究员,中国社会科学院副院长,中国社会学会副会长,中国社会科学院社会学研究所副所长。《社会... 详情>>

    网络空间治理的国家间博弈

    摘要

    2014年是全球网络空间治理的一个重要节点。斯诺登事件继续发酵,美国监听丑闻导致美陷入孤立,美欧之间分歧加大;中美网络间谍案再度升温,两国关系受到较大干扰。网络空间治理的国家间冲突凸显网络空间规则的缺失,国际社会就网络空间规则的制定在不同平台和纬度上展开了博弈,中俄与美欧之间形成了“网络主权”与“全球公域”两种治理理念的对峙。从未来走势看,网络空间的国家间博弈将主要体现为中俄与美欧两种治理模式和治理理念的交锋;尽管网络战爆发的可能性不大,但作为威慑力量的网络战能力建设却正在兴起,并将成为未来大国军力较量的一个重要内容;一般性的网络冲突正在给大国关系带来越来越大的影响,亟须制定相应的对策加以解决。

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    Abstract

    The year of 2014 was an important benchmark for global cyber-governance. As Edward Snowden leaked more documents showing the scale of international surveillance by NSA,the United States was widely criticized by the international community,and outraged EU leaders began to make efforts to shield their countries from surveillance. The United States once again accused China of cyber-espionage on American companies and announced indictments against five Chinese military personnel who were claimed to be engaged in hacking operations. This resulted in Sino-U.S. relations reaching a new low. However,there are no global cyber norms to provide rules for countries to follow in cyberspace;therefore the development of cyber norms is an urgent issue for international society. There are likely to be three notable trends. First,competition will continue between the developed countries and the developing powers in terms of their governance approach and theories,with the former arguing for a “global commons” and the latter supporting “cyber sovereignty.” Second,although a cyber-war is unlikely to occur in the near future,cyber-war offensives and defensive capabilities will be increasingly important to build national military power,Third,low-profile cyber conflicts have had a negative impact on major power relations and require that countermeasures be taken by the involved governments.

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    作者简介
    郎平:郎平,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所副研究员,研究领域为国际政治经济学、网络空间安全等。
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