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王伟光
    男,汉族,1950年2月出生,山东海阳人。1967年11月参加工作,1972年11月加入中国共产党,博士研究生学... 详情>>
李 扬
    1951年9月出生,籍贯安徽,1981年、1984年、1989年分别于安徽大学、复旦大学、中国人民大学获经济学学... 详情>>
李培林
    男,山东济南人。博士,研究员,中国社会科学院副院长,中国社会学会副会长,中国社会科学院社会学研究所副所长。《社会... 详情>>

    国际金融形势回顾与展望

    摘要

    在过去一年中,全球经济增长持续低迷,发达国家主权债务危机深化,金融风险加剧,全球金融市场再度处于风雨飘摇之中。特别是在2011年4月以后,投资者表现出高度的信心不足,风险厌恶水平上升。国际金融市场近期走势体现为如下几个特点:①发达国家长期国债市场分化,美国和德国等传统安全港十年期国债受到青睐,欧洲重债务国国债风险贴水飙升;②美元进入短期升值通道,瑞士法郎、日元、澳元、加元则继续保持强势;③全球股市投资者开始撤资,主要股指自2011年4月开始集体掉头。在未来一年内,国际金融市场仍将笼罩在全球经济缓慢增长和主权债务危机的阴影之下,不稳定性仍将持续。 <<
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    Abstract

    Global financial market has been extremely unstable in the last year due to sluggish global economic growth,deepened sovereign debt crisis in developed economies and increased financial risks,Since April 2011,global investors have repeatedly shown their lack of confidence.The level of investors' risk aversion has been shapely increased.During the time,international financial market has been featured by the following aspects. ①The long-term government bond market has moved in divergent trends:the traditional "safety haven" market,such as 10-year US and Germany government bond,has turned to be attractive to investors,whilst the risk premium of high-spread government bond markets in Euro Area has increased significantly.②The US dollar has been in a short-term appreciation in global foreign exchange market,whilst the Swiss franc,the Japanese yen,the Australian dollar and the Canadian dollar have remained strong.③Investors have withdrawn from the stock markets worldwide.The indexes of major markets have been slumped since April 2011.Slow growth of global economy and sovereign debt crisis will continue to cast shadow on global financial market and contribute to financial instability in the year to come. <<
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    作者简介
    黄薇:黄薇,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所副研究员。
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