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王伟光
    男,汉族,1950年2月出生,山东海阳人。1967年11月参加工作,1972年11月加入中国共产党,博士研究生学... 详情>>
李 扬
    1951年9月出生,籍贯安徽,1981年、1984年、1989年分别于安徽大学、复旦大学、中国人民大学获经济学学... 详情>>
李培林
    男,山东济南人。博士,研究员,中国社会科学院副院长,中国社会学会副会长,中国社会科学院社会学研究所副所长。《社会... 详情>>

    2014年犯罪形势分析及2015年预测

    摘要

    2014年度,中国社会总体形势稳中有升。尽管如此,一些领域的刑事犯罪仍然比较突出。恐怖主义犯罪依然屡有发生,在个别地区和领域甚至有所加剧;禁毒形势依然比较严峻,吸毒、贩毒案件屡禁不止;职务犯罪案件查办数量大幅攀升;网络犯罪较为突出,网络安全成为重要隐患;恶性暴力犯罪势头遏制效果不佳,社会广泛关注的惨案时有发生;未成年人犯罪、企业家犯罪以及涉黄涉赌犯罪等仍较严重。2015年,受相关因素影响,贪污贿赂犯罪、涉黄涉赌犯罪会在一定程度上得到遏制;极端暴力犯罪、网络犯罪、毒品犯罪、恐怖主义犯罪可能会继续影响社会稳定。

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    Abstract

    In 2014,the Chinese society had been stable on the whole,although the crime rate had been high in some areas:the crime of terrorism was still rampant,even intensified in some regions and fields;the situation of drug-related crimes was still grim and complicated,and the phenomenon of drug abuse and drug trafficking was still widespread despite of repeated prohibition;there was a sharp increase in the number of job-related crimes under investigation;cyber crime was rampant and had seriously endangered network security;vicious crimes were still a prominent problem and had caused widespread social concern;and the situation of juvenile delinquency,crimes committed by entrepreneurs,and the rates of prostitution-,pornography-and gambling-related crimes were also high. In 2015,influenced by the relevant factors,crimes of corruption and prostitution,pornography-and gambling-related crimes will be contained to a certain extent,but extremely violent crimes,cyber crimes,drug-related crimes and the crime of terrorism will likely continue to affect social stability.

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    作者简介
    冀祥德:冀祥德,中国社会科学院法学研究所研究员。
    吕升运:吕升运,北京大学法学院博士研究生。
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