在“安倍经济学”“前两支箭”——大胆的金融政策和灵活的财政政策的刺激下,日本经济在2013年度明显复苏,通货紧缩得到缓解。进入2014年度,日本将消费税从5%提高到8%之后,消费和经济陷入疲态。要想实现经济长期持续增长,关键在于“第三支箭”——结构改革。日本政府能否处理好人口老龄化、政府债务、改革阻力等难题,并适时适度调整宏观经济政策、切实增加国民收入、进一步改善国内投资环境、灵活应对外部市场的变化,将决定今后日本经济的走势。
<<Stimulated by the first “two arrows” of “Abenomics”,referring to the qualitative monetary easing and flexible fiscal policy,in the year 2013 Japanese economy has substantially recovered with deflation relieved. However,in 2014,the consumption and macro-economy fall into the state of weakness after the rise of consumption tax from 5% to 8%. It is crucial for the long-term growth of Japanese economy to implement “the third arrow” of “Abenomics”,referring to the economic reconstructing. The trend of Japanese economy from now on hinges on the way that Japanese government deals with the issues of aging population,the government debt and the resistance to the reform,as well as adjust the macro-economic policy and increase household income.
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