2014年,我国国内经济存在以下特点:一是中国经济由高速增长向中高速增长快速换挡;二是通缩已现,但杠杆未去,泡沫犹存。在这个经济背景下,货币供应量与基础货币增速降低,人民币信贷增长和信贷结构趋于合理,社会融资规模同比增长率开始下降,金融机构存款增速合理,货币市场利率波动在下半年明显下降,债券市场指数总体上升,债券发行规模显著扩大,股票市场开始回暖,外汇储备增长合理。在货币政策操作方面,创设了再贷款等新的政策,实施了定向降准政策。展望2015年,宏观政策更关注就业市场,货币政策更关注长期金融稳定,货币政策更好地引导利率走势和利率结构,积极推行我国金融体系市场化改革进程。
<<China’s domestic economy has the following characteristics:firstly,China’s economy growth rate shifts from rapid to quick condition;secondly,deflation has shown,but bubble has not gone.Under this economic background,the money supply and monetary base growth is reduced,the credit growth and credit structure become more reasonable,year-on-year growth rate of social financing scale begin to fall,financial institutions deposit growth is reasonable,money market interest rate fluctuations in the second half of the year is declined obviously,the bond market index rises overall,bond issuance is expanded significantly,the stock market begin to return,foreign exchange reserve growth is reasonable. In terms of monetary policy operation,China creates new policies,such as the refinancing and the directional down policy. Looking ahead to 2015,macro policy will be more focused on the job market,monetary policy will be more focused on the long-term financial stability,guiding the interest rates and interest rate structure,China will actively promote the marketization reform of finance system.
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