中国与“海上丝绸之路”沿线区域/国家的经贸关系,是实施和推动“21世纪海上丝绸之路”或“一带一路”系统工程的基础性环节。基于历史文献及前人的相关研究,本文尝试具体划定“海上丝绸之路”沿线区域/国家范围,并分别对该区域的整体、五个主体区域和区域内主要国家的经贸重要程度、经贸开放程度以及与中国的经贸联系、经贸潜力等进行动态分析。中国与“海上丝绸之路”区域/国家的合作具有很大的潜力和发展空间,但同时也面临沿线区域/国家经济增长放缓、全球经贸地位下滑、各区域发展不平衡以及与中国合作中的经贸发展水平和贸易联系差距大、经贸潜力实现度不高等问题。
<<The basic step in implementing and promoting the “21st century Maritime Silk Road” and the “Belt and Road” initiatives is to study the economic and trade relations between China and the regions and countries along the “Maritime Silk Road”.
Based on historical documents and previous studies,this paper attempts to define the regions and countries along the “Maritime Silk Road”,and conducts dynamic analysis on the importance of trade,level of openness of a region and the economic and trade relations / potential with China of the whole region,the five main regions and major countries respectively.
We do believe that there are still great potential and space for the cooperation between China and these regions/countries. However,the cooperation is also faced with some problems such as the slowdown in economic growth of the regions,the decline in global trade and economic status,the imbalance of regional development,and the gap in the development of economic and trade cooperation with China and the low achievement in trade potential.
Therefore,we need to conduct in-depth research on the cooperation motivation,mode and model.
Firstly,we need to think about the initiation of and sustainable driving force for cooperation. We must focus on the desire of sustainable development of the countries and find the solution to those problems,which will not only provide sustainable driving force for China and the regional cooperation,but also bring greater cooperation centripetal force to meet the development needs of these regions;
Secondly,we should design and realize regional empirical cooperation mechanism and eventually form the ideal model of a pan-regional cooperation. That means we need to do different collaborative planning based on different levels of development;
Thirdly,we should consider first promoting connectivity and developing finance. Based on the port cities of the countries in the five major regions,we can build the network infrastructure in national hinterlands and even throughout the main cities of the regions;
Fourthly,China should take the opportunity of cooperation initiatives to plan new foreign investment patterns. We must consider a more harmonious,environmentally friendly and sustainable way to invest long-term in the host countries and solve the problems in China’s foreign trade or even deeper problems in industrial restructuring.
<<Keywords: | ChinaEconomic and Trade Relations“Maritime Silk Road”Trade PotentialPan-regional Cooperation |