'Influenced by the short-time cycle factors and long-time trend factors,the latest economic slowdown is beyond expectations. However,the monthly coincident CI was bottom off around June and the economic cycle which started from February 2009 has come to an end. The economic climate is promising to increase slightly during the "cool" economic climate from August 2012. The slowdown of quarterly GDP growth rate is expected to come to an end within the third quarter of 2012. The growth rates of China's GDP in 2012 and 2013 are expected to be around 7.7% and 8.3% respectively. CPI's downturn is supposed to continue until the end of 2012,with an annual inflation rate to be at about 2.6% that will be within the moderate growth interval. In 2013,the CPI may increase by quarters and achieve about 2.5% over the full year,which is expected to meet the target of macroeconomic regulation.
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