2007年是非洲经济持续增长的第十二个年头,宏观经济基本面继续改善。在2008年,随着非洲国家经济改革的深化、内部管理能力的提高以及农业生产的正常运转,非洲经济有望实现6%的增长。但受全球经济下滑、高粮价和高油价的冲击,多数非洲国家通货膨胀压力加大,并开始威胁到经济增长。值得注意的是,近年来,亚非合作不断加强,第四届“东京非洲发展国际会议”(TICAD)、首届“印度—非洲峰会”的召开,均表明不少亚洲国家开始重视非洲,加大了对非洲的投入。这无疑为非洲发展营造了一个良好的外部环境。展望2009年,全球经济危机可能导致非洲经济增速放缓,尤其在资本流入等方面面临新的挑战。
<<It is the 12thyears that African economies continued to sustain the growth momentum in 2007,and basic macroeconomic data in Africa have been increasingly improved. In 2008,the African leaders strengthen the consciousness of economic reform,try to raise the management’s ability,and the agricultural production will be a harvest,GDP in Africa is expected to grow to 5.9%. However,the slowdown in global growth,and the impact of the food and fuel price shock,the majority of African countries inflationary pressures is intensifying,pose threats to economic growth. The South African economy growth has been slowing down. Notably,the Asia-Africa cooperation has been strengthened in recent years,the fourth “Tokyo International Conference on African Development”(TICAD)and the first “India-Africa Summit” were held,lead to the international capital increase inflow in Africa,and create a good external environment for African development. The outlook of Africa economy in 2009 remain quite optimistic,the continent is set to feel a negative impact of the global crisis,particularly in areas such as capital inflow is facing new challenges.
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