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王伟光
    男,汉族,1950年2月出生,山东海阳人。1967年11月参加工作,1972年11月加入中国共产党,博士研究生学... 详情>>
李 扬
    1951年9月出生,籍贯安徽,1981年、1984年、1989年分别于安徽大学、复旦大学、中国人民大学获经济学学... 详情>>
李培林
    男,山东济南人。博士,研究员,中国社会科学院副院长,中国社会学会副会长,中国社会科学院社会学研究所副所长。《社会... 详情>>

    我国远洋石油运输危机管理研究

    摘要

    新千年以来,我国经济社会的快速发展带动石油需求迅速增加,推动我国成为仅次于美国的全球第二大石油消费国和原油进口国。面对石油对外依存度不断提高的现实压力和日益复杂的地缘政治环境,如何确保石油运输通道安全成为迫在眉睫的课题。当前国际地缘政治动荡局势加剧,伊朗核问题、朝鲜半岛局势、叙利亚国内动荡局势等多起地缘政治事件频发;此外,南北苏丹冲突不断,尼日利亚、利比亚等国局部地区仍有零星冲突发生,印度洋海域海盗活动仍然活跃,我国南海地区国际争端不断等复杂的地缘政治局势增强了我国远洋运输的风险,而近年来国际远洋石油运输中油轮溢油、碰撞等突发事件时有发生,也使我国的石油供应和石油安全面临严峻挑战。因此,切实做好我国远洋石油运输危机管理研究,并建立与之相配套的预警机制和管理应急体制尤为重要。本报告在阐述我国远洋石油运输的发展现状和趋势的基础上,详细分析了我国远洋石油运输所面临的风险与挑战,尝试建立完善的油轮运输危险管理体系和指标评价体系,并基于以上提出相关政策建议。 <<
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    Abstract

    China's rapid economic and social development drives the rapidly increasing oil demand, which promoted the country the second largest oil consumer and importer after the United States since the new millennium. Because of the pressures of being incrementally dependent on oil import and increasingly complex geopolitical environment, the question of how to ensure the petroleum transport channel security has become an imminent task. Currently, the world is suffering from many unrestful intensified international geopolitical events, including Iranian nuclear issue, situations on the Korean Peninsula, and frequent unrest in Syria. In addition, the North and South Sudan conflict, and Nigeria, Libya and other countries in some areas still endure sporadic clashes occurrence. Besides, Indian Ocean piracy is still violently active in South China Sea, and international disputes and other complex geopolitical situations constantly enhance the risk of ocean transportation as still. Oil spills, collisions and other emergencies in international ocean-going oil transportation in recent years led severe challenges to oil supply and oil security to China. Therefore, researches and studies on crisis management in China's petroleum ocean transport are particularly important. And the corresponding establishment of warning mechanism and emergency management system is equally crucial. This paper, thus, elaborates the risks and challenges faced by China's ocean-going oil transportation on the basis of a detailed analysis of the status and trends of the development of China's offshore oil transport. The paper also tried to improve and perfect the dangerous management system for tanker transport and the present index evaluation system, and raised proper policy recommendations in accordance with the above-mentioned events and issues. <<
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    作者简介
    远洋石油运输危机管理课题组:课题组负责人:戴照明,经济学博士,在某大型国企工作多年;课题组成员:徐宁、宋磊、于萌、王佩、王乐林;执笔人:王佩,王乐林。
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