Based on many macro-economic indicators, this paper selected 28 indexes and then measured and forecasted the economic growth cycle and price movement using composite index, diffusion index and signals of early-warning methods. The results are listed as follows. The decline of the last economic cycle was come to an end in June 2012 and the climate index was bottom off slowly during the "partial cold" interval and came into the "moderate" phase at the beginning of 2013. The economic climate is promising to increase until the third quarter of 2013 and reach the peak around September 2013. The GDP growth rate is expected to be about 8.3% within 2013. The price growth cycle lagging behind the economic growth cycle will increase slightly and reach the peak at March or April of 2014.The inflation rate will not assume significant pressure and is supposed to be at about 3.5% all year around. The macroeconomic regulation policies should keep stable and can be made little adjustment according to the economic situation due to the complicated and dubious circumstance at home and abroad.
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