2014年,阿富汗实现三重过渡的前景充满不确定性。总统选举引发持续数月的政治僵局。组建民族团结政府虽然化解了危机,但也为未来的政治过渡进程带来不确定因素。塔利班等拒不接受政府提议,民族和平与和解进程仍止步不前。阿安全形势持续恶化,塔利班利用选举危机和北约撤军,趁机攻城略地,扩大地盘。阿经济增长持续下滑,政府经历严重的财政危机。在此背景下,阿新政府着手修复阿美关系,明显加强了同周边国家,尤其是同中国、巴基斯坦的联系,并愈加倚重上合组织。上合组织提升了与包括阿富汗在内的观察员国的合作水平,在解决“阿富汗问题”上日益发挥重要的作用。
<<In 2014,the prospect for realizing the triple transition in Alfganistan was filled with uncertainties. The presidential election brought about several months of continuous political deadlock. Though the formation of a national unity government resolved a crisis,it also brought factors of uncertainty to the political process in the future. Taliban etc. refused to accept the proposals made by the government,the process of national peace and reconciliation remained still. The Afgan security situation continued to deteriorate,Taliban took an advantage of the election crisis and the NATO military withdrawal by the use of the occasion to attack cities and aggress land,expanding its territory. The Afgan economy continued sliding,with the government undergoing a serious finanical crisis. In this backdrop,the new Afgan government went about rehabilitating its relantions with the US,evidently strengthened its links with its neighboring countries,especially those with China and Pakistan,and relied on the SCO all the more heavily. The SCO raised the cooperative level of with the observer states including Afganistan,playing an increasingly important role in solving the Afgan issues.
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