安倍政权的政治与外交战略已然成为国际社会对日本关注的焦点,以“安倍经济学”、“安倍主义”及就历史问题将于2015年进行的“安倍谈话”等为标志,“安倍色彩”渐趋浓重。对安倍政权的政治与外交战略的审视与研究,从关注安倍政治思想的原点——保守主义与民族主义开始,安倍的保守主义和民族主义是较之战后更激进、较之战前更抽象的“激进而抽象的保守的民族主义”。对安倍的政治战略分析在于安倍政权在经济、政治、安全层面从“Riskoff”到“Riskon”的转向。安倍的巧实力外交表现为价值观外交与势力均衡,这是安倍外交的理论支撑。出于对安倍外交的三大目标,即“一是跟从美国,二是遏制中国,三是确立日本‘一极’的位置”的分析,“跟随”与“对冲”构成了安倍外交“两面下注”的策略。通过对安倍战略理想与现实状况的分析展示出安倍政治与外交更像是“小泉剧场”之后的“安倍剧场”,“剧场政治”凭借的是“人气”而不是“理念”。
<<The political and diplomatic strategy of the Abe regime has become the obvious appearance of the Abe ruling,with the “Abenomics”,“Abe Doctrine” and the “Abe talk” which will take in 2015 about the history issue,the “Abe tint” is becoming heavy. To review and research about the political and diplomatic strategy of the Abe regime,it comes from the origin of political thought Abe to focus on,the conservatism and nationalism,which is more aggressive than the time after the Second World War,more abstract than the time before the Second World War,is the aggressive,abstract,conservative nationalism. The analysis of the Abe's political strategy is the turn from the “Risk off” to “Risk on” in the economy,politics,security dimension of the Abe regime. The smart power appearance of the Abe regime is the value view diplomacy and the balance power,which is the theoretical support of the Abe diplomacy. For the analysis about the three aims of the Abe diplomacy:“first is the following U.S.,second is contain China,third is to establish the position of Japan ‘one of the poles’”. The analysis of the strategic idea and reality of Abe shows the politics and the diplomacy as the “Abe Playhouse” after the “Koizumi Playhouse”,the “Playhouse Politics ” relies on the “popularity” not the “idea”.
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