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王伟光
    男,汉族,1950年2月出生,山东海阳人。1967年11月参加工作,1972年11月加入中国共产党,博士研究生学... 详情>>
李 扬
    1951年9月出生,籍贯安徽,1981年、1984年、1989年分别于安徽大学、复旦大学、中国人民大学获经济学学... 详情>>
李培林
    男,山东济南人。博士,研究员,中国社会科学院副院长,中国社会学会副会长,中国社会科学院社会学研究所副所长。《社会... 详情>>

    哈萨克斯坦局势分析

    摘要

    2014年以来哈萨克斯坦局势整体稳定,政府机构和高层人事出现较大变动,但由于2015年纳扎尔巴耶夫明确继续参选总统,接班人问题被淡化。2014年受国际能源价格下跌和俄罗斯经济下滑等因素综合影响,哈萨克斯坦面临近年来少有的经济危机,各项经济指标均有所下调。面对经济的不景气,2014年年底哈政府出台被视为哈版反危机措施的“阳光大道”新经济政策,力图扭转经济颓势。2014年哈萨克斯坦大国平衡外交游刃有余,而与俄罗斯、白俄罗斯签署欧亚经济联盟条约则是其外交活动中最重要的事件。虽然经济联盟发展前景可能将较为曲折,但作为独联体地区水平最高的一体化组织,经济联盟将对哈内政外交决策产生重大影响。 <<
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    Abstract

    Since 2014,the overall situation of Kazakhstan has been stable. The government mechanism and high level personnel have witnessed bigger changes. But the problem of successor has been watered down,because Mr. Nazarbayev clearly stated that he would continue to run president in 2015. In 2014,influenced by the decline of energy prices in the world market and Russia’s economic slowdown,Kazakhstan faced economic crisis which scarcely appeared in recent years,and each of the economic indicators has been lowered. Standing up to the economic recession,the Kazakhstani Government has flagged a new economic policy of “Sunny Road” which was regarded as counter measures to the crisis and it was trying to turn around the economic depression. In 2014,the policy of balance between the big powers by Kazakhstan has been accomplished with ease and signing of the EAEU treaties with Russia and Belarus has become the most important issue in its activities of foreign affairs. Though the prospect of the development for EAEU was likely to be twisted,as the highest-level integration organization in the area of Commonwealth of Independent States,the EAEU would make great impact on the decision-making for policies in home and foreign affairs. <<
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    作者简介
    王聪:王聪,中国现代国际关系研究院中亚室助理研究员。
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