由于自然禀赋和经济结构差异,低油价对中东石油出口国和进口国的影响不尽相同。低油价对中东石油出口国和进口国经常账户和财政状况的影响正好相反。低油价导致中东银行部门风险敞口增大,但仍具有较高弹性;低油价对中东股票市场和其他资本市场造成冲击。低油价导致中东FDI、主权财富基金和项目融资市场出现下滑迹象,但市场前景仍比较乐观。总之,近期来看,低油价对中东金融和投资的影响是可控的,但如果油价持续低迷,中东投资和金融市场前景不容乐观。
<<Due to differences in natural endowments and economic structure,the impact of low oil prices on Middle East oil-exporting countries and oil-importing countries are not the same. Low oil prices improve the current account balance and fiscal situation of oil importing countries while deteriorate the current account balance and fiscal situation of the oil-exporting countries. Low oil prices increased banking exposure risks,but the banking system still remains resilient. Low oil prices weaken the stock market and other capital market but these markets still remain optimistic. Low oil prices led to the fall of FDI,sovereign wealth funds and project finance market,but market potential is still high. All in all,in the near term,the impact of low oil price on Middle East financial and investment market are controllable. However,if the oil price goes down for longer time,it is not optimistic for Middle East financial and investment market.
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