美国经济在2015年初出现了周期性波动,主要经济指标却没有明显恶化。尽管国内消费依然是支持经济增长的主要动力,但是投资和外部冲击波动造成的不确定性变得越来越重要。劳动市场的持续改善、消费信心指数接近高位、个人可支配收入稳步增加,加之政府开支对经济增长的影响逐渐从拖累变成中性,都使得美国经济增长的自主性在继续增强。然而,考虑到不太乐观的外部经济形势与美国经济自身出现波动的可能性,美国经济增长依然具有比较大的不确定性。预计2015年美国的经济增长与2014年大体持平。
<<The U.S. economy experienced cyclical slowdown early in 2015 while main fundamental indicators remain stable. Domestic consumption still drive the growth,however uncertainties of investment and external fluctuation overhung. The improving of labor market condition,elevating of the consumer confidence,increasing of personal disposal income and the contribution of government expenditure enhanced economic growth endogenously. The sluggish pace of economic activity abroad and the possible fluctuation of economic expansion still make the U.S. economic growth risky. It is expected that the U.S. economy will grow at the same pace of 2014 this year.
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