本文从基础设施投资角度研究了“一带一路”与世界经济增长的关系。自全球金融危机爆发以来,世界经济增长陷入了分化与停滞的新格局,长期性停滞的风险凸显。尽管全球范围内存在基础设施投资的旺盛需求,但在新兴市场与发展中国家(尤其是亚洲)存在巨大的基础设施投资的资金缺口。中国政府推动的“一带一路”战略如果顺利实施,那么有助于显著缓解沿线国家的上述资金缺口,推动基础设施投资,进而促进区域乃至全球的经济增长。然而,沿线国家资金缺口能否得到根本性缓解,关键是看具体项目设计能否保证投资收益与投资安全。
<<This paper analyzes the relationship between One Belt One Road Initiative (OBOR) and world economic growth. The world economic growth entered into a new paradigm of divergence and stagnation since the burst of global financial crisis. The risk of secular stagnation is increasing. Although there is ample demand for infrastructure investment around the globe,the emerging market and developing countries,especially Asian countries,often face a wide financing gap for potential infrastructure investment. If the B&R initiative proposed by Chinese government could operate smoothly and effectively,the above financing gap facing B&R countries should be mitigated significantly,thus there will be an extensive and intensive wave for infrastructure investment and a much brighter future for regional and even global economic growth. However,the key issue to fill financing gap is how to ensure the investment yields and secure the investment safety though careful and rational project design.
<<Keywords: | Economic Growththe WorldInfrastructure InvestmentSecular Stagnationthe Belt and Road (B&R) |