随着城市现代化进程的不断推进,各种事故隐患、环境灾害时有发生,其中城市生命线系统的安全与可靠性成为城市最大的软肋,而城市地下管网是城市生命线系统的重要组成部分,它的安全影响着城市的正常运行、人民的生命和财产安全。城市地下管网风险评估方法的研究项目,通过对城市地下管网现状调查和数据收集,探求复杂城市环境下地下管道失效因素,计算其权重,选用模糊综合评价方法建立城市燃气管网风险评估模型,并用风险矩阵表征管网风险等级,开发城市燃气管网风险分析与评估、预警与管理功能的城市燃气管网风险评估辅助软件,并通过对实际工程项目的应用,验证风险评估模型的可靠性和适用性。通过本项目的研究,可以构建一套完善的风险评估及动态预警体系,使城市埋地燃气管网的安全运行及完整性管理水平得到较大的提升,能够有效地提高城市埋地燃气管网的可靠性,具有良好的经济效益和社会效益。
<<With the rapid development of urbanization,a variety of accidents,environmental disasters can happen at any time,in all of them,the greatest threat to the city is the safety and the reliability of the urban lifeline system,and the urban underground pipe network in urban lifeline system is the important part,whose safety affects the normal operation of the city,the safety of people’s lives and property. The research project of the risk assessment method of urban underground pipeline network establishes the urban gas pipeline network risk assessment model and gets the level of risk distribution network matrix,develops the urban gas pipeline network risk analysis and assessment,early warning and management capabilities of city gas pipeline network risk assessment supporting software through the investigation of the present situation of urban underground pipe network and data collection,exploring the failure factors of underground pipelines in the complex urban environment,calculating its weight,selecting the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method,and then obtains the reliability and applicability of the model and systems by the practical application of the project. By studying this project,we can build a comprehensive platform of risk assessment and dynamic early warning system,the safe operation and the level of integrity of the city buried gas pipe network has been greatly improved,the security of the city gas pipeline network can be improved effectively,and it has good economic and social benefits.
<<Keywords: | ChinaRisk AssessmentFuzzy comprehensive evaluationCity Gas Pipelines NetworkFailure Factors |