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王伟光
    男,汉族,1950年2月出生,山东海阳人。1967年11月参加工作,1972年11月加入中国共产党,博士研究生学... 详情>>
李 扬
    1951年9月出生,籍贯安徽,1981年、1984年、1989年分别于安徽大学、复旦大学、中国人民大学获经济学学... 详情>>
李培林
    男,山东济南人。博士,研究员,中国社会科学院副院长,中国社会学会副会长,中国社会科学院社会学研究所副所长。《社会... 详情>>

    武汉城市圈新型城镇化与产业协同发展研究(2009~2015)

    摘要

    新型城镇化和产业发展具有较强的互动关联性。新型城镇化是产业集聚发展的空间载体,产业是新型城镇化建设的动力源泉,两者协同发展能够实现新型城镇化的顺利推进和产业的优化升级。借鉴信息熵、协同学相关理论,在分析产城协同发展复合系统协同演化机制的基础上,构建综合评价指标体系,利用AHP-PP模型测算武汉城市圈2009~2014年新型城镇化与产业发展子系统综合评价值。通过信息熵模型对产城协同发展复合系统信息熵值及有序度进行测算发现:除孝感、黄冈、咸宁、仙桃、潜江与天门外,武汉城市圈其余三个城市的产城协同发展复合系统信息熵值逐年下降,系统内部处于熵减状态,有序度呈逐年上升的趋势,但区域差异比较显著。进一步构建产城协同发展复合系统协同演化模型,并采用加速遗传算法进行模型参数估计,辨识其协同演化类型,结果显示:黄石、鄂州、黄冈、咸宁表现为竞争型产城关系,孝感、仙桃与天门表现为冲突型产城关系,武汉与潜江则表现为协同型产城关系。最后本报告对各种类型进行分析并简要提出武汉城市圈新型城镇化与产业协同发展的对策建议。

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    Abstract

    The new urbanization and industrial development has a strong interactive relationship. New urbanization is the spatial carrier of the development of industrial agglomeration,industry is the driving force of the construction of new urbanization,the two collaborative development can achieve the smooth progress of the new urbanization and industrial optimization and upgrading. Reference information entropy,correlation theory,on the analysis of the coordinated development of city production of composite system based on co-evolution mechanism;build a comprehensive evaluation index system. Using AHP-PP model to calculate the comprehensive evaluation value of the new urbanization and industrial development subsystem of Wuhan city circle in 2009~2014. Through information entropy model for the joint development of the city produced a composite system information entropy is calculated on the degree of order and found that:In addition to Xiaogan,Huanggang,Xianning,Xiantao,Qianjiang and day outside,the city produced the remaining three cities of Wuhan city circle collaborative development complex system information entropy declining,the internal state of the system is reduced entropy,the degree of order on the rise year by year trend,but more significant regional differences.Further build production city coordinated development of complex systems co-evolution model and accelerated genetic algorithm model parameter estimation,identification of their co-evolution type,the results show:Yellowstone,Ezhou,Huanggang,Xianning and Tianmen performance for competitive production city relationship,Xiaogan and Xiantao city produced the performance of the conflict type relationship with Wuhan and Qianjiang city was produced synergetic relationship;and finally analyze the various types of paper and briefly raised the Wuhan city circle new urbanization and industrial deveBIlopment Suggestions.

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    作者简介
    范斐:范斐,武汉大学经济与管理学院区域经济学博士后,武汉大学中国中部发展研究院讲师,研究方向为区域经济政策研究,主持国家自然科学基金青年项目、中国博士后科学基金特别资助项目、湖北省软科学面上项目、武汉市软科学重点项目等七项。
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