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王伟光
    男,汉族,1950年2月出生,山东海阳人。1967年11月参加工作,1972年11月加入中国共产党,博士研究生学... 详情>>
李 扬
    1951年9月出生,籍贯安徽,1981年、1984年、1989年分别于安徽大学、复旦大学、中国人民大学获经济学学... 详情>>
李培林
    男,山东济南人。博士,研究员,中国社会科学院副院长,中国社会学会副会长,中国社会科学院社会学研究所副所长。《社会... 详情>>

    2011~2012年深圳房地产市场解析与展望

    摘要

    与国内其他城市一样,2011年深圳房地产市场调整深入,市场观望氛围浓厚。新建市场方面,商品住宅量价齐跌,写字楼价增量减,商业用房量价双升;二手市场方面,商品住宅、写字楼持续繁荣,商业用房价格高位回调;租赁市场方面,商品住宅、写字楼租金稳步上涨,商业用房租金先抑后扬;土地市场方面,居住用地多数底价成交,商服用地均价同比升幅近半;土地增量方面,土地整备全面启动,开局计划如期完成。据模型测算,深圳2011年新建住宅市场泡沫程度稳中微降,调控效果初现,但仍显虚高。展望2012年,随着调控延续,房企或逐渐让利,需求者将观望待发,调整仍为年内基调。放眼未来,深圳强调质量发展,经济转型,加之土地整备,也将为房地产发展提供强力支撑。 <<
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    Abstract

    Like many other cities in China, the readjustment of real estate market in Shenzhen has increased with a stronger wait and see atmosphere under the influence of continuous control policies. In primary market, the residential market reacted to the fall in price and transaction volume; the price of the office building market was rising while the volume decreasing; the commercial building market showed an increase of price and volume. In the secondary market, the residential and the office building market was booming; the commercial building market showed a high back. In the rental market, the rent of the residential and the office building market was increasing steadily; while the rent of the commercial building market decreased at first and then recovered. There was a downturn of the transaction in the land market with the total turnover decreasing sharply, reserve price appearing frequently and half commercial land meeting with the failure bids. In land supply, the land resupply by arrangement started, which has completed certain goals as the plan. According to the estimates of typical models, the new housing market price bubble decreased slightly, but still high.Looking into 2012, the real estate market of Shenzhen will still face with kinds of pressure, and the continuous adjustment will be a greater probability. Looking towards the future, with the emphasis on quality development, and the acceleration of economic transition in Shenzhen, as well as the land resupply by arrangement, which will energetically guarantee the sound development for real estate. <<
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    作者简介
    万清:深圳大学土木工程学院硕士研究生
    李黎:深圳大学土木工程学院硕士研究生
    伊廷阁:第二作者:伊廷阁,深圳大学土木工程学院硕士研究生,排名不分先后。
    宋博通:建筑学博士后,深圳大学基建部主任,深圳大学房地产研究中心常务副主任、副教授,研究方向为住房政策、城市经济与房地产市场。
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