当前,世界格局接二连三地遭遇全球性难题的碰撞,致使全球治理与国际秩序更加紧密相连。在这样的背景下,大国战略不仅依然受到冷战时期形成的惯性思维的影响,而且各种变局和危机的出现也使得任何一个国家的对外发展战略面临两难选择困境。“一带一路”是中国政府在世界格局迅速变化与周边环境不确定性上升的情况下做出的一个确定性选择,是中国探索全球治理方式、谋求与沿线国家深化经济与安全合作的重要举措。中国是南亚最大的邻国,虽然南亚的市场需求潜力巨大、合作空间广阔,但相比东南亚和中亚等地区,中国与南亚之间的合作面临更多难以克服的障碍。合作机遇的错失以及合作困境的形成,往往狭隘地受制于“地缘政治想象”以及由此导致的错误认知与观念冲突。南亚在“一带一路”倡议中的战略地位、合作广度与深度,不仅取决于南亚自身的地缘政治结构、南亚在地区和世界格局中的位置,而且取决于中国的地缘政治结构、中国在南亚的战略定位和战略诉求以及中国与南亚国家之间的互动。“一带一路”倡议在南亚方向的印度难点,归根结底还是中印关系问题。要解决这个难点,需要双方的共同努力。我们有理由相信,只要中印双方愿意付出努力并采取行动,加强人文领域的沟通,寻求在经济与安全领域的合作,则合作产生的红利就一定能够外溢到政治领域并成为政治互信的润滑剂,最终推动中印关系向前发展。
<<Currently,the world pattern has been suffering from the collision of global problems one after another,which makes the global governance more closely linked with the international order. In this context,the great power strategy is still affected by the inertial thinking formed during the cold war. What’s worse,the occurrence of various changes and crisis brings the internal and external development strategy of a country into dilemma. “OBOR” is a deterministic choice made by Chinese government under the conditions of a rapidly changing world pattern and a rise in the uncertainty of the surrounding environment and an important move to explore the means of global governance and seek the deepened economic and security cooperation with countries along the route. China is the largest neighboring country of South Asia. Although the market in South Asia has great potential in demand and broad cooperation space,compared to Southeast Asia,Central Asia and other regions,the cooperation between China and South Asia is faced with more obstacles to overcome. The missing of cooperation opportunities and the formation of cooperation dilemma are often narrowly limited by the “geopolitical imagination” and the misunderstanding and conceptual conflict there from. The strategic position and the breadth and depth of cooperation of South Asia in the “OBOR” initiative not only depend on the geopolitical structure itself and its position in the regional and world pattern,but also depends on China’s geopolitical structure,China’s strategic positioning and claim in South Asia as well as the interaction between China and South Asian countries. The Indian difficulties of “OBOR” in the South Asian direction,after all,consist in the Sino Indian relations. The solution of this problem requires the joint efforts of both sides. We have reasons to believe that as long as China and India are ready to put efforts and take action to strengthen communication in humanities and seek cooperation in the economic and security field,the “dividends” of cooperation will overflow to the political field and become the lubricant of political trust,eventually pushing forward the development of Sino Indian relations.
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