您好,欢迎来到皮书数据库!
您现在所在的位置:首页
更多>> 课题组动态
更多>> 皮书作者
王伟光
    男,汉族,1950年2月出生,山东海阳人。1967年11月参加工作,1972年11月加入中国共产党,博士研究生学... 详情>>
李 扬
    1951年9月出生,籍贯安徽,1981年、1984年、1989年分别于安徽大学、复旦大学、中国人民大学获经济学学... 详情>>
李培林
    男,山东济南人。博士,研究员,中国社会科学院副院长,中国社会学会副会长,中国社会科学院社会学研究所副所长。《社会... 详情>>

    不确定之年德国面临的内外挑战

    摘要

    2017年对于全世界以及欧洲包括德国依然是一个有着许多不确定性的年份。德国不仅将在9月24日迎来联邦大选,而且在国内、欧盟和国际层面依然面临着诸多严峻挑战。在国内层面,难民融入是德国社会未来的最大挑战,德国的反恐形势也依然严峻,右翼民粹势力在此背景下的上升也给德国政治生态带来了一个新变量。在欧盟层面,不确定因素在于荷兰与法国大选是否会飞出“黑天鹅”,在荷兰大选中虽然主流政党涉险过关,“非左非右”的独立候选人马克龙在法国大选中大获全胜,但右翼民粹势力并未偃旗息鼓;在英国启动脱欧进程的背景下,欧盟急需确定未来的发展方向,“多速欧洲”虽然看来成为大多数成员国的共识,但其实施依然存有很大的变数和挑战。在国际层面,美国特朗普总统的上台及其所推行的孤立主义政策使跨大西洋关系的价值基础受到侵蚀,德国需要在推进全球化进程中寻找新的伙伴,而且必须提高德国自身的军力及推行欧洲共同外交与安全政策,以便承担起欧洲自身乃至全球的安全责任。

    <<
    >>
    关键词: 外交德国内政

    Abstract

    2017 will be another year of uncertainty for the world and Europe,including for Germany. Germany will not only hold federal elections on September 24th;the country itself,the European Union and the international community continue to face many serious challenges at home,at the EU and the international level. At home,the integration of refugees into German society is the greatest challenge for the future,Germany’s anti-terrorism situation is still grim,and against this background the rise of right-wing populist forces has added a new variable to the German political environment. At the EU level,it is uncertain whether the Netherlands and France will cease to be “Black Swans”. Although in the elections in the Netherlands the mainstream parties have,after going through a difficult moment,eventually prevailed,the right-wing populist forces have not disappeared. At the commencement of the Brexit process,the EU needs to determine the future direction of its development. Although the concept of a “multi-speed Europe” seems to be gaining acceptance with a majority of member states,its implementation poses many problems and challenges. At the international level,with Donald Trump assuming the United States presidency and initiating a policy of isolationism,the foundation of the transatlantic relationship-its values-is threatened. Germany needs to look for new partners in the process of globalization,and in order to assume responsibility for the security of Europe and the whole world,it must improve its own military strength and invigorate the EU Common Foreign and Security Policy.

    <<
    >>
    作者简介
    郑春荣:郑春荣,教授、博士,同济大学德国研究中心主任,同济大学德国问题研究所/欧盟研究所所长。
    <<
    >>
    相关报告