2016年德国政界的主导议题仍然是围绕难民问题的讨论,但是来德国寻求避难的难民人数与2015年相比已有大幅度的减少,从2015年的89万人减少到了28万人。在巴登-符腾堡州、莱茵兰-普法尔茨州、萨克森-安哈尔特州、梅克伦堡-前波莫瑞州和柏林州举行的州议会选举中,我们可以看到相对较高的参选率,以及右翼民粹政党“德国另类选择党”(AfD)的竞选得势。尽管出现了较为明显的选民转移,但是这并没有导致任何政府首脑的更迭。2017年联邦议院的选举结果将尤其取决于德国另类选择党和社民党的表现。由于社民党似乎并不希望与安格拉·默克尔领导的基民盟第三次组成大联合政府,因此三党联合执政可能会成为必要之选。目前,德国政党体制还没能充分地将选民的选择转化为切实的联合组阁形式。
<<In 2016 the debate about refugees still dominated German politics although,compared to the previous year,the number of people who sought sanctuary in Germany declined quite substantially (from 890,000 in 2015 to 280,000 in 2016). The elections in the federal states (Länder) Baden-Württemberg,Rhineland-Palatinate,Saxony-Anhalt,Mecklenburg-West Pomerania and Berlin were marked by a comparatively high voter turnout and the success of the right-wing populist party AfD. There were quite substantial voter movements,but they did not lead to any change in the parties heading the governments. The results of the 2017 federal election will crucially depend on the performance of the AfD and the SPD. A three-party coalition may become necessary because the SPD does not seem keen to enter into a third Grand Coalition with Angela Merkel. At present,the German party system only insufficiently manages to translate voters’ choices into viable coalition alternatives.
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