英国脱欧已成定局,这对欧盟、德国及英国自身的经济影响在很大程度上取决于脱欧谈判的最终结果,即脱欧后英国与欧盟之间的新关系。由于这种不确定性,目前无法对英国脱欧的经济影响做出具体、准确的测算,因此本文立足于梳理英国目前与欧盟和德国的经济关系,不定量地对英国脱欧对其与欧盟和德国经贸关系的影响做一个整体性的初步分析,在此过程中,将汇总欧洲主要经济研究机构、智库和政府部门的一些最新预测结果。
<<The economic impact of Brexit on the EU,Germany and the UK depends largely on the final result of the upcoming negotiations,in particular on the future relationship between the UK and the European Union. Because of this uncertainty,a specific and accurate estimate of the economic impact of Brexit is currently not possible. This article will therefore examine the UK’s economic and trade relations with the EU and Germany,make a preliminary qualitative analysis of the impact of Brexit on these relations and analyze the results of some of the latest forecasts of major European economic research institutions,think tanks and government departments.
<<Keywords: | EUGermanyEconomic ImpactBrexit |